okay here goes

by JD in Portland , Portland OR, Sunday, December 12, 2010, 21:08 (5618 days ago) @ Jay

5 - Florida hires Urban Meyer
3 - Florida hires Will Muschamp
3 - USC hires Pete Carroll
2 - USC hires Lane Kiffin
2 - Tennessee hires Lane Kiffin
3 - Oregon hires Chip Kelly
1 - Washington hires Ty Willingham
3 - Washington hires Steve Sarkisian
3 - Auburn hires Gene Chizik
3 - Florida State hires Jimbo Fisher
3 - Ohio State hires Jim Tressel
4 - Michigan hires Rich Rodriguez
3 - Nebraska hires Bo Pelini
5 - Alabama hires Nick Saban
4 - Ole Miss hires Houston Nutt
3 - Stanford hires Jim Harbaugh
4 - Georgia Tech hires Paul Johnson
5 - Arkansas hires Bobby Petrino
3 - Miami hires Randy Shannon
3 - Miami hires Al Golden
3 - Colorado hires Dan Hawkins
4 - Michigan State hires Mark Dantonio
2 - ND hires Charlie Weis
4 - ND hires Brian Kelly

A few footnotes -
I agree with the comment far below about considering the program and factoring that in to the level of risk. For example, Rutgers giving Weis his first head job and trying him at college level would have been less risky than ND doing it.
And a team hiring their own ass't (e.g. Chip Kelly) to be first time head coach is somewhat less risky as he knows the program and they know him, learning curve not quite so steep.

locked

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Complete thread:

on a scale of risk, grade these hires (at the time) - Jay, 2010-12-12, 18:08
- interesting exercise. composite ranking: - Jay, 2010-12-13, 09:36
  - nit - disagree on Sarkisian - JD in Portland, 2010-12-13, 19:56
  - awards - Jay, 2010-12-13, 09:39
    - Pete Carroll, winner of the Carr-Fulmer award. - Bryan (IrishCavan), 2010-12-13, 10:37
- Interesting that Alabama's hiring of Saban... - KGB, 2010-12-13, 09:10
- My attempt - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 06:52
  - I guess I don't see how Meyer rates higher than Kelly. - KGB, 2010-12-13, 08:01
    - A couple of thoughts - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 09:10
      - I think the perception of Kelly was similar a year ago. - KGB, 2010-12-13, 09:17
        
        I don't disagree. - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 09:50
        
        Along these lines... - MattyCinNYC, 2010-12-13, 09:39
        
        I desperately hope that Lane Kiffin turns into a poor man's - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 09:53
        
        I think the perception of Kelly a year ago... - Greg, 2010-12-13, 09:25
        
        I think there's a lot right in this thread - Mike (bart), 2010-12-13, 09:44
  - good read - Jay, 2010-12-13, 07:59
- taking a snab at it - Pat, 2010-12-13, 05:47
- A bit odd that - Pete, 2010-12-13, 03:37
  - Guess we're on the same wavelength. - KGB, 2010-12-13, 09:30
- Here goes nothing. - Pat (Moco), 2010-12-12, 21:45
- okay here goes - JD in Portland, 2010-12-12, 21:08
- The USC hire of Petey . . . - Glass, 2010-12-12, 20:21
- Mine - PMan, 2010-12-12, 20:19
- Hard to do this without hindsight - JRT, 2010-12-12, 19:41
  - I'm curious as to the high marks given to MSU for Dantonio? - hobbs, 2010-12-12, 20:00
    - I'm not sure how to explain his first two seasons - BPH, 2010-12-12, 20:12
    - Above average, or low risk? - JRT, 2010-12-12, 20:08
      - You're right - hobbs, 2010-12-12, 20:27
- mine - HumanRobot, 2010-12-12, 19:34
- Mine - DCT, 2010-12-12, 18:53
- It's tough to eliminate hindsight. - Slainte Joe, 2010-12-12, 18:44
- Mine - Jeff (BGS), 2010-12-12, 18:29
  - You think Meyer in 2004 was a better hire by UF - hobbs, 2010-12-12, 18:37
    - I really wasn't as sold on Saban - Jeff (BGS), 2010-12-12, 19:13
      - You aren't alone - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 06:57
      - If you include the risk of bolting, his risk quadruples. - JRT, 2010-12-12, 19:43
        
        Yes, but I think it was much less risky in that he - tex29, 2010-12-12, 19:46
        
        Not sure I agree - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 07:02
        
        You could be right, but I think Carroll is different. - tex29, 2010-12-13, 07:51
        
        Possibly - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 08:53
      - Fair enough. - hobbs, 2010-12-12, 19:27
- My scale goes to 11 (edited) - BPH, 2010-12-12, 18:27
- Mine - hobbs, 2010-12-12, 18:26
- I had too many threes to make my answers useful. - Kevin, 2010-12-12, 18:22
  - Curious why you think that about Rodriguez - BPH, 2010-12-12, 18:42
    - It's a close call, but Rodriguez had a longer tenure at WVU - Kevin, 2010-12-12, 18:47
      - I thought RR was a desperation hire, moreso that Meyer/Weis - Jeff (BGS), 2010-12-12, 19:18
        
        Agree. - KGB, 2010-12-13, 08:22
        
        It may have been - Domer99, 2010-12-13, 07:15
        
        I don't think Miles shunned them. - Kevin, 2010-12-13, 05:24
        
        Lloyd was smarter than he looked - JN, 2010-12-13, 07:43
        
        Sexist. - JRT, 2010-12-13, 07:52
        
        Is that wisdom or risk? - tex29, 2010-12-12, 19:39
        
        I didn't rank mine on risk - Jeff (BGS), 2010-12-12, 20:58
- risky business - Jay, 2010-12-12, 18:21
- ok... - irishoutsider, 2010-12-12, 18:21
  - you made me go back and bump up Urban - Jay, 2010-12-12, 18:24
    - Now that I'm back to stable internets.... - irishoutsider, 2010-12-13, 07:47
    - Yeah, but as Einstein would say, it's all relative. - tex29, 2010-12-12, 18:27
- Mine (edited) - tex29, 2010-12-12, 18:15

the Polo Grounds

okay here goes