Iowa has a decent chance to flip both statewide races --

by omahadomer, Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 18:47 (11 days ago) @ Joe I

we in Omaha live right across the river.

Iowa used to be the swingiest of swing states. Presidential elections in the early 2000's were decided by a few thousand votes. But it has turned red with Trump beating HRC easily in 2016. Biden lost it 53-45 in 2020. Harris didn't come close.

But in non-presidential statewide races the ground has been shifting some. Joni Ernst faced a tough challenge from a no-name nominee in a Senate race. We have a lot of friends in western Iowa, one of whom owns a small-town barber shop. She says that farmers are constantly bitching about the tariffs, the cost of diesel fuel, etc. Another who's a manager at an industrial plant says that the pro-Trump guys who work under him have become really quiet as they watch gas for their F-150's climb toward $4.50 per gallon.

I know this is anecdotal but sometimes you can feel the momentum with your feet. I don't think these guys are going to vote Democratic but a lot of them may stay home.

--
"It's our blood and bones and these whistles and phones against Miller's and Noem's dirty lies."