I'm pretty surprised Trump hasn't yet gone all in for Cornyn

by atxND, Sunday, March 15, 2026, 18:50 (19 days ago) @ omahadomer

because Paxton has no fans outside of MAGA core. Conventional wisdom for sure - but also conforms to gut feel - I think barring an unforced error, Tallarico takes it going away against Paxton, but probably loses in a squeaker against Cornyn. There are enough right-leaning independents in the state that will see relatively anodyne and predictable Cornyn as still preferable to a democrat, and if Paxton wins, there are a good number of republicans who will be pissed at Paxton for threatening a "safe" seat and may just stay home or vote out of spite.


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