Talarico probably can speak to them better then --

by omahadomer, Sunday, March 15, 2026, 17:51 (19 days ago) @ Dallasdomer

there's also (I suspect) a strong religious strain in high propensity Black voters, hence the efforts in Georgia to get rid of "Souls to the Polls." While Talarico might have a harder time convincing younger Blacks who turned out for Crockett to get to the polls I doubt he'll have any trouble with church-going Blacks.

I suspect (you'd know better) that he has a better chance against Paxton than Conryn. There's a decent segment of Trump voters who are sometimes called "MAGA adjacent." There's a lot about Trump they don't like, but they saw him as better on economic issues (and voting for a Black woman was a bridge too far) and tolerated his horrid behavior. Paxton probably would fire up the true MAGA base but the hard core of it is melting and is maybe 30% nationally of voters. The MAGA adjacent voters might view Conryn as tolerable but Paxton as disgusting. Whether they'd stay home or actually vote for Talarico is hard to know.

I'm trying not to get my hopes up too far. If Texas flips, the Senate is going to turn very blue. But to turn it blue, Ossoff has to hang on in Georgia, Brown has to win, etc. Those all seem much more in reach than turning a huge state where Trump won by almost 14 points in 2024. Biden came closer in 2020 but it was still 5.5 points, which is a lot of raw votes in Texas. Clinton lost it by 9 points. I guess we can safely say that a white man probably has the best odds.

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"It's our blood and bones and these whistles and phones against Miller's and Noem's dirty lies."