At least with respect to LeBron.

I could have seen the coordinated opt-out and resigning of all three with the intention of giving the Heat room to overhaul the roster. But since it's happening like this, I think it means that there's a significant chance LeBron goes somewhere else.

And this is just another extension of the differences between the Heat/Spurs we say in the Finals. The Spurs built a franchise, the Heat built a very specific team. The former has endured for a decade, the latter is falling apart after a few years.

the Heat's best depth building propositions in the Big-3 Era have been convincing ring-chasing veterans (Battier, Allen, Birdman) to take a discount in order to nigh-guarantee themselves a photo hoisting the Larry O'Brien trophy. As Hillary Clinton will tell you, though, the "Inevitability" argument only works so long as you're winning. Miami cut Mike Miller last year, and their discount depth guys (Allen, Battier, Andersen) are either eyeing the exits or beyond their useful lives. also, their homegrown guys either haven't really emerged (Cole) or are among the league's worst players at their positions (Chalmers).

Wade and Bosh would have to be simply insane to opt out at this point (especially Wade). The only way I could see those guys taking less money would be for some totally insane maneuver like LeBron paying those guys under the table out of his non-basketball ventures.