this is awesome stuff

by HumanRobot , Cybertron, Monday, October 13, 2025, 05:32 (1 day, 9 hours, 53 min. ago) @ Jeff (BGS)

I have some full datasets now of schedule and FPI data. Send me a note if I can help you with anything.

I did the Monte Carlo thing. Here's the ones with better than 50/50 odds of 2 or fewer losses:

team        0-loss  1-loss  2-loss
Indiana     8292    10000   10000
Ohio State  7799    9863    10000
Miami       6941    9611    9989
Texas Tech  4666    8842    9899
Oregon         0    4111    8617
Ole Miss     832    3996    7758
Alabama        0    3339    7572
Texas A&M    759    3537    7339
Virginia       0    2722    7196
Georgia        0    2574    7114
BYU          533    2857    6424
Utah           0    2027    6110
Georgia Tech 194    2199    6032

My feeling is the rules are going to end up being "2 loss for B1G/SEC, 1 loss for B12/ACC".

--
Freeman's got so much riz they need to call him Aura Parseghian

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Complete thread:

We're 13th - IrishGuard, 2025-10-12, 12:03
- Updated scoreboard/playoff watching - Jeff (BGS), 2025-10-12, 20:10
  - this is awesome stuff - HumanRobot, 2025-10-13, 05:32
    - Shockingly high on Indiana - Aaron (Shakespeare), 2025-10-13, 08:50
      - it's all about remainind schedule - HumanRobot, 2025-10-13, 11:25
      - The B1G really just kind of sucks. - KGB, 2025-10-13, 08:56
    - Thanks. I think you are right on the rules - Jeff (BGS), 2025-10-13, 06:45
      - I know you have to keep them in -- - omahadomer, 2025-10-13, 09:54
        
        I’d put a few Jaybucks on Nebraska, with odds, of course - Jeff (BGS), 2025-10-13, 10:59
- Navy is 30th - Jeff (BGS), 2025-10-12, 15:50
  - Next to USC, Pitt is the most dangerous game -- - omahadomer, 2025-10-12, 17:02
    - Yep the game with the Yinzers scares me the mostest - KelleyCook, 2025-10-12, 19:02

the Polo Grounds

this is awesome stuff