Biden 48, Trump 41, Jorgenson 4 in NE-2

by omahadomer, Monday, September 28, 2020, 08:50 (1303 days ago)

Biden signs all over my heavily red west Omaha neighborhood. No Trump signs.

If Biden wins NE-2 by this margin, Trump is cooked. Not because the 1 EV is likely to decide it, but Obama in 2008 barely carried it, and Romney and Trump won NE-2 by 2-4 points.

In another shocker, Nebraska's NE-1 is competitive. NE-1 includes Lincoln (with is heavily blue) but is about R+10 because it covers large rural swaths of Nebraska that are deep red. Support for Trump there is more tepid because the soybean and pork embargoes left farmer with soybeans to rot and having euthanize and bury pigs because it wasn't economical to get them to market.

Upper bracket Portland OR suburb

by JD in Portland @, Portland OR, Monday, September 28, 2020, 12:55 (1303 days ago) @ omahadomer

A ton of Biden signs. No trump signs at all until you hit the rural area and then it’s mostly Trump

(Unsurprisingly) Evanston, IL is Trump free

by IrishGuard, Monday, September 28, 2020, 13:50 (1303 days ago) @ JD in Portland
edited by IrishGuard, Monday, September 28, 2020, 17:01

In downstate IL, however, there are as many Trump signs as ears of corn.

Or put another way, in downstate IL, there are as many

by Jack @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 14:55 (1303 days ago) @ IrishGuard

Trump signs as positive COVID-19 tests.

I don't see any political signs at all in my area

by Pat, in the cloud, Monday, September 28, 2020, 10:24 (1303 days ago) @ omahadomer

I think there is one house that has a few signs for local elections. But I can't think of a single house that has any Biden/Trump signs at all.

This election is one of the most interesting of my lifetime

by Domer99, John Wesley Powell's Expedition Island, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:10 (1303 days ago) @ omahadomer

In IL-6, it's been a traditional GOP stronghold. Your typical right leaning to centrist comfortable suburban enclave. The GOP held this congressional seat from 1972 thru 2018. This is precisely the electorate that Trump has turned off. Those suburban wives are now turning to lefty activists.

Regarding signs, I've never seen more in our area, especially for Biden and the national and state democratic candidates. Now, having said all of the above, you do see signs for national and state republican candidates but they are largely void of Trump signs. It's either because they are fearful of neighbor scorn/reprisal and are the silent supporters or they just can't fathom pinching their noses to support this corrupt president. My guess is that there's both factors at play. And similar to Nebraska, that cant' be good. Trump can't afford to lose any votes from 2016 because turnout will be substantially greater this time around.

I've enjoyed the ads from Oberweis

by Jim (fisherj08) @, A Samoan kid's laptop, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:16 (1303 days ago) @ Domer99

implying that Lauren Underwood is the leader of Antifa.

I enjoy his ice cream

by Jack @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:42 (1303 days ago) @ Jim (fisherj08)

And I'll enjoy yet another political defeat for him. I'll celebrate with a pint of his delicious raspberry chocolate chip.

He really is the finest kind of rich crank

by Jim (fisherj08) @, A Samoan kid's laptop, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:45 (1303 days ago) @ Jack

the one who assumes he can buy a political office but lacks basically any form of charisma whatsoever.

When you see an Ives sign, the "Trump" is silent

by MattG, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:14 (1303 days ago) @ Domer99

Very few people in GE are willing to go full MAGA this time around.
But an Ives sign gets the same point across, right?

Nominating Ives is like they've given up

by Jack @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:43 (1303 days ago) @ MattG
edited by Jack, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:50

Roskam could at least pretend to be a moderate.

PBrady coming out in favor of Casten can't be good for her

by Domer99, John Wesley Powell's Expedition Island, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:50 (1303 days ago) @ Jack

https://www.dailyherald.com/news/20200910/former-illinois-gop-chair-pat-brady-endorses-...

Former Illinois GOP chair Pat Brady endorses Dem Sean Casten over Jeanne Ives

Former Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady has crossed party lines to endorse Democratic U.S. Rep. Sean Casten of Downers Grove for reelection in the 6th District, going as far as to slam GOP challenger Jeanne Ives in new pro-Casten campaign ads.

The two spots featuring Brady -- who lives in St. Charles, within the 6th District -- are part of a digital-only ad push that will run on Facebook, Hulu and Google, Casten's campaign said Thursday in a news release.

Casten said he was honored to receive Brady's endorsement.

"Jeanne Ives has made it clear that her values don't represent the 6th District, and Pat Brady has made it clear that her values don't represent the Republican Party," Casten said in the release.

In one of the new videos, Brady says he's a lifelong Republican who can't support Ives, a conservative former state lawmaker from Wheaton who came close to beating then-Gov. Bruce Rauner in the 2018 GOP primary.

"Ives makes (President Donald) Trump look reasonable," Brady says. "She's attacked same-sex families, even questioned the science behind climate change and the coronavirus. Ives is on the wrong side of history."

Statements about Ives pulled from Chicago-area media appear next to a black-and-white photo of her. Brady never mentions Casten in the commercial.

In the other spot, Brady praises Casten and says he'll vote for him without mentioning Ives. Casten is shown touring a suburban energy company as Brady speaks.

"Sean's a businessman and scientist who makes decisions based on facts, never politics," says Brady, referring to Casten's professional experience as the president and CEO of an energy recycling company. "He's worked across the aisle to protect our health and get our economy moving again."

Both spots are 15 seconds long and stamped "Paid for by Casten for Congress."

The Ives campaign responded to the ads on social media Thursday.

"Of course Pat Brady endorsed Sean Casten," posts on Ives' Twitter and Facebook accounts read. "Amoral, ruling class political hacks stick together."

In Casten's news release, Brady blasts Ives for releasing an ad during her gubernatorial run that featured actors thanking Rauner for expanded transgender, abortion and immigration rights. The ad was panned by activists, Democrats, GOP leadership and media outlets including the Daily Herald.

Brady called it "the most sexist, racist and hate-filled ad I've ever seen."

When asked during an Aug. 25 online forum if she regretted or stood by the 2018 ad, Ives said the spot highlighted Rauner policy positions she opposed.

Brady served as the state GOP chairman from 2009 to 2013. But his Republican bona fides go beyond that job.

He served on the Republican National Committee's budget committee, chaired the national organization's ethics committee and was a member of the late Sen. John McCain's presidential campaign.

Brady resigned his state GOP leadership post after his support of same-sex marriage triggered a fight with other Republicans. He now leads a public relations firm specializing in government and is a political analyst.

Brady and his endorsements drew criticism Thursday from current state GOP Chairman Tim Schneider and Republican National Committee representatives Richard Porter and Demetra Demonte. In a jointly issued statement on Twitter, they said: "Identifying and labeling Pat Brady as a Republican is false and misleading. If you spend all your time attacking and betraying Republicans -- whether out of newfound convictions or to continue booking TV appearances -- you are a Democrat."

Team Ives released a campaign ad Thursday, too. Ives narrates the one-minute spot and tells viewers about her military service, her time as an athletic coach and her political service. It also includes footage of civil unrest and of Ives talking with people in different settings.

"Now, I'm stepping up for a new fight -- to save this country from those who would destroy the values that forged our nation and make it strong," Ives says in the spot.

Ives also touted support she received on Instagram from U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a Texas Republican who accused Casten of smearing his character last year during a town-hall forum.

The 6th District includes parts of Cook, DuPage, Kane, Lake and McHenry counties.

Libertarian Bill Redpath of West Dundee also is running.

Glad he's recognized that she's a complete whackjob

by Jack @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:53 (1303 days ago) @ Domer99
edited by Jack, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:58

It's amazing how in two suburban districts the Democrats won for the first time in decades (or ever?) in 2018 the Republicans have put up such terrible candidates to try to retake them.

Incidentally, I've lived in the Chicago suburbs since I was 3 years old, and Casten is only the second Democrat to represent a district I've lived in, with the only other time being one year in Oak Park represented by Cardiss Collins. But not one of those Republicans were even close to as right wing as Jeannie Ives is.

I've assumed so

by Domer99, John Wesley Powell's Expedition Island, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:28 (1303 days ago) @ MattG

But it is interesting to see how much they've resisted identifying themselves as MAGA supporters. Last time around they had no such qualms. So you're right. And plus I think Ives is probably just as right if not more than Trump, with a lot of former GOPers not endorsing her candidacy.

Speaking of Biden signs...

by domer.mq ⌂ @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 08:53 (1303 days ago) @ omahadomer

I decided to order one from the campaign b/c, hell, even in MD I figure I should help show enthusiasm. Still waiting for it to ship. Maybe I'm low on the shipping priority b/c, again, MD, but I also wonder if they didn't expect such a rush </eddieIzzard>.

--
Sometimes I rhyme slow sometimes I rhyme quick.

Apparently they are backordered to the hilt

by Jack @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:45 (1303 days ago) @ domer.mq

They can't make them fast enough.

Took 3 weeks to ship mine.

by Bingo @, Fort Wayne, IN, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:32 (1303 days ago) @ domer.mq

I emailed them and it was out in a couple of days. I wouldn't wait too long to send them a note.

The "BYE, DON" signs are a clever variation

by BPH, San Diego, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:07 (1303 days ago) @ domer.mq

- No text -

You mean my choice is Or Death?

by irishoutsider @, Monday, September 28, 2020, 09:02 (1303 days ago) @ domer.mq

- No text -

I've seen 3 new Biden/Harris signs in my hood

by hobbs, San Diego, CA, Monday, September 28, 2020, 08:57 (1303 days ago) @ domer.mq
edited by hobbs, Monday, September 28, 2020, 12:12

Two were even throwing up BLM signs as well. Where I live is 90% blanquito!

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