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He'll play one more season in college no matter what

by Brendan ? @, The Chemical and Oil Refinery State, Wednesday, December 06, 2017, 14:40 @ Jack
edited by Brendan, Wednesday, December 06, 2017, 15:12

If he gets clearance to play immediately, he'll play 2018 and head to the draft. If not, he'll play 2019 and head to the draft. As you might imagine for a kid who was looking at LSU and ended up at Ole Miss, academics are an afterthought at best. One way or another, he's a one and done.

So Harbaugh brought in two transfer QBs in 2015 - Jake Rudock from Iowa as a grad transfer, and John O'Korn from Houston as a standard transfer - and is now seeking to bring in another for 2018 in Patterson. Shane Morris left as a grad transfer last year, and Wilton Speight and Alex Malzone are headed out as grad transfers this year. That is a metric shit ton of churn in the QB room, which can't make redshirt freshman Brandon Peters or true freshman Dylan McCaffrey too comfortable.


Speaking of the young 'uns, let's talk about QB development under Harbaugh:
I submit as evidence... Other than Luck, every QB he has had has either held steady, regressed, or gone on to play better elsewhere. To wit:
- 2012 Kaep: 13 games, 98.3 rating (NFL scale), 62.4% comp, 8.3 ypa, 10 TD, 3 INT
- 2013 Kaep: 16 games, 91.6 rating, 58.4% comp, 7.7 ypa, 21 TD, 8 INT
- 2014 Kaep: 16 games, 86.4 rating, 60.5% comp, 7.0 ypa, 19 TD, 10 INT

- 2014 Rudock (Iowa): 12 games, 133.5 rating, 61.7% comp, 7.1 ypa, 16 TD, 5 INT.
- 2015 Rudock: 12 games, 141.5 rating, 64% comp, 7.8 ypa, 20 TD, 9 INT (a little better but nothing that normal junior-senior progression couldn't account for, and in fact similar to Rudock's 2013-2014 improvement)

- 2015 Morris: Couldn't get on the field.
- 2016 Morris: Attempted 5 passes in six games.
- 2017 Morris (CMU): 12 games, 130.2 rating, 55.5% comp, 7.1 ypa, 26 TD, 13 INT (before you chuckle, note that this stat line is better than anyone who played for Michigan this season)

- 2016 Speight: 12 games, 139.8 rating, 61.6% comp, 7.7 ypa, 18 TD, 7 INT
- 2017 Speight: 3+ games, 121.9 rating, 54.3% comp, 7.2 ypa, 3 TD, 2 INT

- 2016 O'Korn: 8 games (34 attempts), 121.0 rating, 58.8% comp, 5.1 ypa, 2 TD, 0 INT
- 2017 O'Korn: 9 games, 101.2 rating, 53.2% comp, 6.1 ypa, 2 TD, 6 INT

Sample size warnings abound in there, of course. But it's interesting and worth tracking, at least.

It's entirely possible that Harbaugh's reputation as a QB genius comes from having (1) Andrew Luck and (2) a year of Kaepernick before the NFL figured out how to adjust to him.

It's possible I'm completely wrong, too, of course. But it's food for thought at least.

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Listen to the voice of Life, and you will hear Life crying, "Be!"

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