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Even with our recruiting hits in the south and west

by KGB, Monday, December 04, 2017, 11:29 @ Jay

there's still plenty of fallout after the LOIs are signed. Anecdotally, it seems like our washout rate is higher with those kids than the commits from other parts of the country. Our recent track record in California, in particular, is really lousy. Having kids come here only to transfer a year or two later is a drag on resources and does nothing to advance the program.

And as long as we're talking about shortcomings in November, consider the impact of luring kids hundreds if not a thousand-plus miles away from the warm-weather environments in which they grew up. Getting into the grind of November entails the expected ND classload but now you're also out of your element, far away from family and dealing with colder weather (and probably less sunshine) than you're accustomed to on a daily basis. That may not make any difference for some players, but it may very well for others.

None of this excuses Kelly, and other coaches like Urb and Harbaugh have to deal with similar. But it's a data point in the larger picture when your entire m.o. is recruiting on a legitimately national basis.

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